Building Community-based Systems Maps Riohacha, Colombia

This report outlines the methodological approach for quantifying the intricate dynamics between climate change and food security in Riohacha, Colombia. Leveraging qualitative Causal Loop Diagrams (CLD) developed in collaboration with stakeholders, the study identifies key drivers and interconnections shaping the food security landscape. The insights from CLDs were used to develop a comprehensive System Dynamics (SD) model, capturing the multifaceted relationship between climate change and food security. The model reflects the complexity of the issue, incorporating feedback loops and interactions identified in the CLDs, and provides a nuanced understanding of local challenges to inform evidence-based policy recommendations. The findings reveal a concerning trajectory for food security if current dynamics persist, with climate change exacerbating challenges such as water scarcity and floods. However, implementing targeted interventions could reverse this decline in the medium term, leading to positive changes such as increased agricultural production and GDP growth. The project underscores the importance of active participatory engagement, identification of leverage points for positive change, and informed policy development through quantitative models to enhance food security and resilience in Riohacha.